October 28, 2008
Tax Cuts Do Not Cause Deficits
This election year, there is a vast amount of misunderstanding and disinformation regarding taxes rates, tax revenues, spending and deficits. One of the most common is that Clinton left a burgeoning surplus, and the Bush “tax cuts for the rich” have caused huge deficits. This is false.
One of the hardest things for most people to understand is that deficits are caused by spending, not tax revenues. This can be hard to understand because unlike the private sector, there is no relationship in government between revenue and expenses. As an example, if a company builds a new factory or offers a new service, increasing expenses, it expects the products created at that factory will increase revenues. If the company gets no return on its investment, it stops the activity.
Government does not work this way. There is no causal relationship between government services and government revenues. The government confiscates the tax dollars it wants for revenue regardless of the programs offered. If the government cancelled all defense spending in Iraq tomorrow, it would have no effect on the taxes you pay.
Because there is no causal relationship between tax revenues and government expenses, deficits do not result simply because tax rates are cut. Deficits are caused when the government spends more than the incoming revenues. Since 1965, the government has operated at a deficit for almost the entire 33 year period. The only exception was the period immediately following the 1994 Republican Revolution in Congress. It was during this period that Bill Clinton famously declared “the era of big government is over.”
